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Backtesting Strategies

Generated: 2026-06-18 17:44 UTC. Selected source: 2026-06-18 (watchlist). Cycle entry range: 2025-08-06 to 2026-06-17.

This page has two layers. The Full Universe Backtest Summary uses cached cycle results across all processed local-history assets. The tables below focus on assets from the latest TrendRadar Default indicator context. In watchlist mode it includes strict Default signals plus assets that still pass the same quality and momentum filters but no longer have a fresh 200D MA cross. Entry is a historical Default-style signal. Exit rule: Best later close before the next 200D MA cross down, or best close to date for open cycles. Avg gain is calculated from every available cycle, including open cycles; positive values show the average best move above entry and negative values show loss-only cycles. This is educational analytics, not an investment recommendation.

Strategy Comparison

Generated from all available daily signal-cache data: 2026-06-18T16:47:31+00:00. Oracle / best-case benchmark rows are not directly tradable because they use an ideal later exit selected with hindsight. For those rows, Est return p.a. is hidden to avoid presenting a benchmark as a realistic strategy estimate. For normal strategy rows, Est return p.a. annualizes Avg return by the average number of trading days that capital is tied in one cycle.

StrategyEntry ruleExit ruleProcessed assetsAssets with cyclesEntry signal daysAvg assets / entry dayAvg active tradesPeak active tradesCash / trade avg activeCash / trade peak activeCyclesClosedOpenAvg returnEst return p.a.Median returnWin rateAvg daysMedian daysAvg max gainAvg max drawdownCycles CSV
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80Liquid asset, close >= 1, monthly Stoch RSI K crosses above 20.First later monthly Stoch RSI K cross below 80.26 2144 32222721.171,557.952 9720.06%0.03%4 8062 3222 48411.36%14.22%5.55%65.37%203.92189.0043.88%-14.71%CSV
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80 with -10% stop lossLiquid asset, close >= 1, monthly Stoch RSI K crosses above 20.First later close at or below -10%, otherwise first later monthly Stoch RSI K cross below 80.26 2144 32226422.53899.882 1090.11%0.05%5 9494 6401 309-1.81%-5.29%-10.51%27.63%84.6355.0019.47%-9.65%CSV
Oracle 200D MA best-case benchmark (not tradable)Liquid asset, close >= 1, close crosses above the 200D MA.Not tradable: best later close before the next 200D MA cross down, or best close to date for open cycles.26 2147 7441 06694.541,624.903 1510.06%0.03%100 77997 4653 31410.07%n/a0.78%61.92%17.881.0010.07%-0.27%CSV
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -25% stopLiquid non-OTC asset, close >= 5, market cap >= 300M, 60D average dollar volume >= 2M, monthly Stoch RSI K crosses above 20, K > D, monthly close > EMA10, EMA10 rising, monthly RSI14 > 45, close not more than 70% below the 24M high, and no reverse-split-like daily price jump in the last 24M.First later monthly Stoch RSI K cross below 80, monthly close below EMA10, or close at/below -25% from entry.26 2141 9946338.76410.941 0650.24%0.09%2 4421 9085342.20%5.62%-2.81%38.16%100.3183.0019.79%-8.19%CSV
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -30% stopLiquid non-OTC asset, close >= 5, market cap >= 300M, 60D average dollar volume >= 2M, monthly Stoch RSI K crosses above 20, K > D, monthly close > EMA10, EMA10 rising, monthly RSI14 > 45, close not more than 70% below the 24M high, and no reverse-split-like daily price jump in the last 24M.First later monthly Stoch RSI K cross below 80, monthly close below EMA10, or close at/below -30% from entry.26 2141 9946338.76411.651 0660.24%0.09%2 4421 9065362.21%5.62%-2.81%38.20%100.6483.0019.81%-8.25%CSV
How to read this table
Strategy
Human-readable name of the tested rule set. Each row is a separate strategy, not a recommendation.
Entry rule
The historical condition that opens a simulated cycle. For example, a monthly Stoch RSI K cross above 20 or a close crossing above the 200D MA.
Exit rule
The historical condition that closes the simulated cycle. If a row is marked as a benchmark, the exit may be an analytical reference rather than a directly tradable rule.
Processed assets
Number of assets whose local daily signal cache was scanned for this strategy.
Assets with cycles
Number of distinct assets where at least one entry signal was found.
Entry signal days
Number of distinct trading dates on which the strategy generated at least one entry signal.
Avg assets / entry day
Average number of assets with an entry signal on days when the strategy generated any entry signal. It is calculated only across signal days, not across all calendar days.
Avg active trades
Estimated average number of simultaneously open cycles. It approximates capital occupancy from the total number of holding days and the time span of the backtest.
Peak active trades
Highest historical number of cycles that were open at the same time, based on entry and exit dates.
Cash / trade avg active
Indicative allocation per trade if cash is spread across the average number of active cycles: 100 divided by Avg active trades, capped at 100%.
Cash / trade peak active
More conservative allocation per trade if cash must cover the historically busiest point: 100 divided by Peak active trades, capped at 100%.
Cycles
Total number of simulated entry-to-exit cycles found for the strategy, including open cycles when they are included in that strategy.
Closed
Number of cycles where the exit rule already occurred in the available history.
Open
Number of cycles where an entry occurred but the exit rule has not yet occurred by the latest available data.
Avg return
Average return per cycle over the metric scope of the strategy. For closed-cycle strategies it uses closed cycles only; for benchmark rows it may include open cycles as documented above the table.
Est return p.a.
Annualized estimate from Avg return and Avg days, using 252 trading days per year. It is a mechanical conversion, not a forecast. It is hidden for Oracle / best-case benchmark rows.
Median return
Middle return value across the cycles used for the strategy metrics. It is less sensitive to one very large winner or loser than Avg return.
Win rate
Share of cycles with a positive return in the metric scope.
Avg days
Average number of trading days that capital was tied in one cycle.
Median days
Middle holding-period length in trading days.
Avg max gain
Average of the best unrealized gain reached inside each cycle.
Avg max drawdown
Average of the worst unrealized move below entry inside each cycle. Negative values show average adverse movement during cycles.
Cycles CSV
Download link to the detailed cycle rows used to calculate that strategy row.

Strategy summary CSV: download strategy comparison summary

More strategies with backtests will be added soon. Any suggestions at trendradar.online@gmail.com.

Negative Strategy Examples

Worst negative examples per strategy. These rows are intended for later review of exclusion filters: repeated weak behavior, poor recovery after entry, or large drawdowns may point to assets or contexts that should be filtered out. Open examples use the latest available close as the temporary exit price.

StrategyTickerTradingViewCompanySectorExit / latestExit reasonExample typeEntry priceExit/latest priceReturnDays heldDays above entry% days above entryMax gainMax drawdown
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80ETAOFChartETAO International Co., Ltd.Healthcare2024-12-31stoch_rsi_1m_cross_below_80closed_loss3.870.00-100.00%18852.66%12.40%-100.00%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80CFORChartCapForce Inc.Financial Services2025-09-02stoch_rsi_1m_cross_below_80closed_loss7.500.00-100.00%35910.28%4.00%-100.00%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80ALCEChartAlternus Clean Energy IncUtilities2026-06-01open_no_exitopen_current_loss65.280.00-100.00%33300.00%0.00%-100.00%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80NICHChartNitches Inc.Financial Services2026-06-05open_no_exitopen_current_loss111.000.00-100.00%60810.16%2.70%-100.00%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80AWINChartAERWINS Technologies Inc.Technology2024-12-31stoch_rsi_1m_cross_below_80closed_loss6.290.00-100.00%14700.00%0.00%-100.00%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80WHLRChartWheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc.Real Estate2025-10-31stoch_rsi_1m_cross_below_80closed_loss208,656.0053.64-99.97%25000.00%0.00%-99.97%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80NUWEChartNuwellis, Inc.Healthcare2026-06-08open_no_exitopen_current_loss160.020.14-99.91%48081.67%20.21%-99.91%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80AEHLChartAntelope Enterprise Holdings LimitedIndustrials2026-06-17open_no_exitopen_current_loss993.601.02-99.90%47120.42%2.66%-99.95%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80XHGChartXChange TEC.INCReal Estate2026-06-08open_no_exitopen_current_loss480.000.96-99.80%42600.00%0.00%-99.84%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80EDBLChartEdible Garden AG IncorporatedConsumer Defensive2026-06-08open_no_exitopen_current_loss80.500.23-99.72%35820.56%4.35%-99.75%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80KXINChartKaixin Auto HoldingsConsumer Cyclical2026-06-08open_no_exitopen_current_loss1,836.005.53-99.70%39930.75%5.88%-99.77%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80NCNAChartNuCana plcHealthcare2026-06-08open_no_exitopen_current_loss680.002.05-99.70%44130.68%87.35%-99.80%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80 with -10% stop lossAEXAFChartAtos SETechnology2025-04-23stop_loss_10closed_loss40.000.00-99.99%400.00%0.00%-99.99%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80 with -10% stop lossAEXAFChartAtos SETechnology2025-04-01stop_loss_10closed_loss45.000.00-99.99%100.00%0.00%-99.99%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80 with -10% stop lossPLTXFChartJIVA Technologies Inc.Consumer Cyclical2024-04-10stop_loss_10closed_loss1.080.00-99.92%5480.00%38.89%-99.92%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80 with -10% stop lossPLTXFChartJIVA Technologies Inc.Consumer Cyclical2024-05-01stop_loss_10closed_loss1.030.03-97.12%7571.43%40.78%-97.12%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80 with -10% stop lossMLTXChartMoonLake ImmunotherapeuticsHealthcare2025-09-29stop_loss_10closed_loss47.206.25-86.76%636095.24%31.33%-86.76%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80 with -10% stop lossELMEChartElme CommunitiesReal Estate2026-01-08stop_loss_10closed_loss17.012.77-83.72%893842.70%3.17%-83.72%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80 with -10% stop lossMIGIChartMawson Infrastructure Group, Inc.Financial Services2024-12-04stop_loss_10closed_loss36.8013.60-63.04%10440.00%16.30%-63.04%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80 with -10% stop lossPEPGChartPepGen Inc.Healthcare2026-03-31stop_loss_10closed_loss4.621.77-61.69%12510785.60%55.19%-61.69%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80 with -10% stop lossOMChartOutset Medical, Inc.Healthcare2024-08-08stop_loss_10closed_loss37.9516.05-57.71%696898.55%90.51%-57.71%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80 with -10% stop lossKRROChartKorro Bio, Inc.Healthcare2025-11-13stop_loss_10closed_loss14.966.50-56.55%747297.30%243.32%-56.55%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80 with -10% stop lossPRLDChartPrelude Therapeutics IncorporatedHealthcare2025-11-04stop_loss_10closed_loss3.981.76-55.78%100.00%0.00%-55.78%
Liquid 1M Stoch RSI 20 to 80 with -10% stop lossJANXChartJanux Therapeutics, Inc.Healthcare2025-12-02stop_loss_10closed_loss33.9915.86-53.34%100.00%0.00%-53.34%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -25% stopMLTXChartMoonLake ImmunotherapeuticsHealthcare2025-09-29stop_loss_25closed_loss47.206.25-86.76%636095.24%31.33%-86.76%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -25% stopCPRIChartCapri Holdings LimitedConsumer Cyclical2024-10-25stop_loss_25closed_loss42.4421.26-49.91%19947.37%1.67%-49.91%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -25% stopTHChartTarget Hospitality Corp.Industrials2025-02-24stop_loss_25closed_loss9.665.05-47.72%351645.71%12.42%-47.72%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -25% stopAGIOChartAgios Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Healthcare2025-11-19stop_loss_25closed_loss39.2522.34-43.08%563867.86%15.90%-43.08%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -25% stopWSTChartWest Pharmaceutical Services, Inc.Healthcare2025-02-13stop_loss_25closed_loss327.56199.11-39.21%292482.76%6.20%-39.21%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -25% stopELFCharte.l.f. Beauty, Inc.Consumer Defensive2025-11-06stop_loss_25closed_loss124.4476.54-38.49%914650.55%17.86%-38.49%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -25% stopTTDChartThe Trade Desk, Inc.Communication Services2025-08-08stop_loss_25closed_loss86.9654.23-37.64%6466.67%3.22%-37.64%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -25% stopVRNSChartVaronis Systems, Inc.Technology2025-10-29stop_loss_25closed_loss50.7532.34-36.28%857790.59%24.75%-36.28%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -25% stopKRUSChartKura Sushi USA, Inc.Consumer Cyclical2024-06-28stop_loss_25closed_loss98.1363.09-35.71%1036765.05%22.27%-35.71%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -25% stopGNEChartGenie Energy Ltd.Utilities2025-08-07stop_loss_25closed_loss24.9116.09-35.41%371335.14%11.88%-35.41%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -25% stopMNKDChartMannKind CorporationHealthcare2026-02-25stop_loss_25closed_loss5.373.50-34.82%1017978.22%15.64%-34.82%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -25% stopMRNAChartModerna, Inc.Healthcare2024-08-01stop_loss_25closed_loss142.5594.17-33.94%42921.43%8.62%-33.94%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -30% stopMLTXChartMoonLake ImmunotherapeuticsHealthcare2025-09-29stop_loss_30closed_loss47.206.25-86.76%636095.24%31.33%-86.76%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -30% stopCPRIChartCapri Holdings LimitedConsumer Cyclical2024-10-25stop_loss_30closed_loss42.4421.26-49.91%19947.37%1.67%-49.91%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -30% stopTHChartTarget Hospitality Corp.Industrials2025-02-24stop_loss_30closed_loss9.665.05-47.72%351645.71%12.42%-47.72%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -30% stopAGIOChartAgios Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Healthcare2025-11-19stop_loss_30closed_loss39.2522.34-43.08%563867.86%15.90%-43.08%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -30% stopWSTChartWest Pharmaceutical Services, Inc.Healthcare2025-02-13stop_loss_30closed_loss327.56199.11-39.21%292482.76%6.20%-39.21%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -30% stopELFCharte.l.f. Beauty, Inc.Consumer Defensive2025-11-06stop_loss_30closed_loss124.4476.54-38.49%914650.55%17.86%-38.49%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -30% stopTTDChartThe Trade Desk, Inc.Communication Services2025-08-08stop_loss_30closed_loss86.9654.23-37.64%6466.67%3.22%-37.64%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -30% stopVRNSChartVaronis Systems, Inc.Technology2025-10-29stop_loss_30closed_loss50.7532.34-36.28%857790.59%24.75%-36.28%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -30% stopKRUSChartKura Sushi USA, Inc.Consumer Cyclical2024-06-28stop_loss_30closed_loss98.1363.09-35.71%1036765.05%22.27%-35.71%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -30% stopGNEChartGenie Energy Ltd.Utilities2025-08-07stop_loss_30closed_loss24.9116.09-35.41%371335.14%11.88%-35.41%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -30% stopMNKDChartMannKind CorporationHealthcare2026-02-25stop_loss_30closed_loss5.373.50-34.82%1017978.22%15.64%-34.82%
Quality 1M Stoch RSI + EMA10 with -30% stopCLPTChartClearPoint Neuro, Inc.Healthcare2025-11-17stop_loss_30closed_loss21.7914.21-34.79%342264.71%35.84%-34.79%

Negative examples CSV: download negative strategy examples

Full Universe Backtest Summary

Cached strategy version: default_v2_mrsi45_rising_exit_sma200. Processed universe cache: 2026-06-18T17:43:21+00:00. The cache can be incomplete while a long batch run is still calculating remaining assets. Exit rule: Best later close before the next 200D MA cross down, or best close to date for open cycles.

Processed assets600 / 26 354
Pending assets25 754
Cycles36
Avg cycles / asset0.06
Avg cycle gain0.55%
Avg days / cycle21.06
Completed cycles34
Avg exit return-7.21%

Latest Signal Context Summary

Selected assets41
Cycles11
Completed cycles5
Avg cycles / asset0.27
Avg cycle gain4.46%
Avg days / cycle12.09
Avg exit return-3.35%
Win rate0.00%
Avg days held22.40

Asset Summary

TickerTradingViewCompanySignal typeCyclesCompletedOpenAvg exit returnMedian exit returnWin rateAvg days heldAvg % days above entryAvg gain
APO-PAChartApollo Global Management, Inc.strict default211-0.75%-0.75%0.00%1.000.00%1.32%
IIPR-PAChartInnovative Industrial Properties, Inc.qualified watchlist110-1.77%-1.77%0.00%2.000.00%-1.77%
PGPEFChartPublicis Groupe S.A.qualified watchlist110-4.18%-4.18%0.00%21.0090.48%3.72%
PRKSChartUnited Parks & Resorts Inc.qualified watchlist110-4.42%-4.42%0.00%55.0094.55%9.89%
BLFSChartBioLife Solutions, Inc.qualified watchlist110-5.64%-5.64%0.00%33.0093.94%12.86%
AMPGChartAmpliTech Group, Inc.qualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
ARGXChartargenx SEqualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
BTDRChartBitdeer Technologies Groupqualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
CMSQYChartComputershare Limitedqualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
CORTChartCorcept Therapeutics Incorporatedqualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
FCNCAChartFirst Citizens BancShares, Inc.qualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
FNCLChartFidelity MSCI Financials Index ETFstrict default000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
GBTGChartGlobal Business Travel Group, Inc.qualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
HIWChartHighwoods Properties, Inc.qualified watchlist101n/an/an/an/an/a6.07%
HMNChartHorace Mann Educators Corporationqualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
IAIChartiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETFqualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
IYGChartiShares U.S. Financial Services ETFstrict default000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
JEFChartJefferies Financial Group Inc.qualified watchlist101n/an/an/an/an/a4.82%
KCEChartState Street SPDR S&P Capital Markets ETFqualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
KFYChartKorn Ferryqualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
LTHChartLife Time Group Holdings, Inc.qualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
LTRNChartLantern Pharma Inc.qualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
MBFJFChartMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc.qualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
MHHChartMastech Digital, Inc.strict default000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
MLPChartMaui Land & Pineapple Company, Inc.qualified watchlist101n/an/an/an/an/a-1.56%
MTRXChartMatrix Service Companyqualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
NSITChartInsight Enterprises, Inc.qualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
PAYOChartPayoneer Global Inc.qualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
PFGCChartPerformance Food Group Companyqualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
PUBGYChartPublicis Groupe S.A.qualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
RSPFChartInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Financials ETFqualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
SBFGChartSB Financial Group, Inc.qualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
TACTChartTransAct Technologies Incorporatedqualified watchlist101n/an/an/an/an/a6.67%
TGTXChartTG Therapeutics, Inc.qualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
TRVGCharttrivago N.V.qualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
UHALChartU-Haul Holding Companyqualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
USIOChartUsio, Inc.qualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
VFHChartVanguard Financials ETFstrict default000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
VNOChartVornado Realty Trustqualified watchlist101n/an/an/an/an/a5.79%
WSMChartWilliams-Sonoma, Inc.qualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a
WUGIChartAXS Esoterica NextG Economy ETFqualified watchlist000n/an/an/an/an/an/a

Latest Cycles

TickerExit / latestExit reasonEntry priceExit/latest priceReturnDays heldDays above entry% days above entryMax gainMax drawdown
APO-PA2026-06-17open_no_exit68.7371.063.39%44100.00%3.39%0.00%
APO-PA2026-06-10close_below_200d_ma67.7767.26-0.75%100.00%0.00%-0.75%
JEF2026-06-08open_no_exit55.2457.904.82%22100.00%4.82%0.00%
MLP2026-06-08open_no_exit17.3517.25-0.58%200.00%0.00%-1.56%
HIW2026-06-08open_no_exit26.8628.496.07%44100.00%6.07%0.00%
VNO2026-06-08open_no_exit34.2236.205.79%4375.00%5.79%-0.64%
TACT2026-06-08open_no_exit4.504.796.44%55100.00%6.67%0.00%
PGPEF2026-01-13close_below_200d_ma102.7498.45-4.18%211990.48%3.72%-4.18%
BLFS2025-11-14close_below_200d_ma25.5124.07-5.64%333193.94%12.86%-5.64%
PRKS2025-10-29close_below_200d_ma50.2448.02-4.42%555294.55%9.89%-4.42%
IIPR-PA2025-08-08close_below_200d_ma25.4024.95-1.77%200.00%0.00%-1.77%

Files

Cycles CSV: download cycle rows

Asset summary CSV: download asset summary

Overall summary CSV: download overall summary

Universe cycles CSV: download full-universe cycle rows

Universe asset summary CSV: download full-universe asset summary

Universe overall summary CSV: download full-universe overall summary

Universe cache status CSV: download full-universe cache status